And the otaku girls both take their round yesterday, Nagi by a mile, Konata by a bit more than a hundred votes. Voting may have been affected a little by a last-minute outage at the 2chan posting board, but Konata had taken the lead in the early hours of voting and maintained the gap all day long, so likely it didn't affect the outcome. (However, it may have reduced the voting numbers a little, so we'll have to keep that in mind when predicting the last few rounds...)

Turns out that Saimoe actually has a contingency plan in place for a major outage of the servers - if they're up more than 12 of the 24 hours, they call it legal and go with the results. Huh, never knew that.

Also ironically, the block A final now has Shana vs. Nagi, who have the same voice actress. Heh...

Should be a fantastic day for voting today. First match is Luna vs. Nanoha. We can expect a maximum effort on behalf of the Seto no Hanayome fans, and that's proven to be a formidable force so far. The real question is how much of the Nanoha fan base Nanoha herself can rally. If a significant percentage of the Fate fans transfer over to Nanoha for this round, Luna is toast. It's difficult to tell which way anyone else would want to intervene in this match, either - both Nanoha and Luna are pretty strong threats on their own, and both of them have a single teammate left in the tourney, so the risk of energizing the fan base is about even too. Anyone who's been reading this knows who I favor, of course (and if you didn't, I'm off to subtitle two more episodes of Nanoha today when I'm done here.)

Rena versus Kagami, though... Rena's cute, for a psycho, that's been established long since. But I seriously doubt that Higurashi has enough votes to marshal to take down Kagami, consistently the strongest-polling of the Lucky Stars. The only thing that could save her would be a concerted effort to knock Kagami out of the tournament, and honestly, there's an awful lot of Kagami fans out there... I'm not sure there's enough anti-Lucky Star feeling to pull it off, even if they tried. (And would they really want to then pitch Rena up against Hayate?)

Tough to predict how the interplay of the rounds will affect the outcome. None of the four are really running from the same playbook when it comes to their moe, so there's no obvious parallels like the Nagi/Konata otaku vote from yesterday. Luna and Kagami are both tsundere, okay, but Luna is the overly violent crotch-stomping type, while Kagami is the newer, gentler sarcastic type that I prefer. Nor do Rena or Nanoha have inferior violence to bring to the table - Rena's straight out of a horror movie and I fully expect Nanoha characters to show up in a Super Robot Wars game sometime. Nanoha brings the only adult charms to the day's voting (though, to put it bluntly, anyone who remembers the first season knows that she's not getting out-lolied short of Kodomo no Jikan.)

I'll predict Kagami over Rena. No prediction for the other round - it's too close to call.
Yesterday's matches:

1位　1072 votes Sanzenin Nagi@Hayate the Combat Butler
2位　553 votes Kashiwaba Tomoe@Rozen Maiden Ouverture

1位　937 votes Izumi Konata@Lucky Star
2位　802 votes Saginomiya Isumi@Hayate the Combat Butler

Today's matches:

C3-1 (10/0
江戸前留奈＠瀬戸の花嫁(Edomae Runa@Seto no Hanayome)
高町なのは＠魔法少女リリカルなのはStrikerS(Takamachi Nanoha@Mahou Syoujo Lyrical Nanoha StrikerS)

D3-2 (10/0
竜宮レナ＠ひぐらしのなく頃に(Ryuuguu Rena@Higurashi no Naku Koro ni)
柊かがみ＠らき☆すた(Hiiragi Kagami@Lucky Star)

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